First 2022 Seasonal LONG RANGE Winter Forecasts from NOAA We say absolutely! February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. We are already at 10 for Los Angeles, which shows we are on track here in the Desert Southwest with that number not even close to being a traditional La Nina. Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. Waters off New England had 2nd warmest year on record in 2022 Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly less than a tenth an inch /0.10"/ with localized totals up to a third of an inch /0.33"/, especially near Vail and on the northwest side of the metro area. A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. One daily temperature record was set. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. 2022 monsoon season in Arizona expected to be above-normal - good news Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Backed by the 5th warmest June and 7th warmest July and the warmest Summer average low temperature on record (tied with 2020), Summer 2022 goes into the record books asthe 3rd warmest Summer on record, tied with the Summers of 2013, 2015 & 2019. In a couple of words: its nice! Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). There should be enough snow on the ground still if you're looking to hit the slopes, but any further lashing will (hopefully) hold off for a little while longer. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. One record temperature was set during the month. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The seasonal average dew point value was 19. Aspiring Emergency Managers Online - Company Page on LinkedIn: Arizona According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. Prognostic Discussion for Long-Lead Seasonal Outlooks. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 1.80" which is four-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 57th driest first quarter of the water year on record. In the U.S., La Nia typically means a colder than average winter in northern and western parts of the country, and a warmer South and East. Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York. National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? World; United States; Arizona; Weather in Phoenix; Weather in Phoenix in November 2022. Reach breaking news reporter Sam Burdette at sburdette@gannett.com or on Twitter @SuperSafetySam. Over the next 10 days high temperatures gradually warmed through the 60's into the 70's peaking on the 27th with a monthly high temperature of 79. Arizona winters aren't known for being white or cold, but this is getting ridiculous. The average Fall temperature of 71.3 is 1.0 below the 1991-2020 normal. The zero rainfall recorded at the International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, marked the 30th time since 1895 that no measurable rain was recorded at the official site. When Does It End? Amounts ranged from 1.00" to 4.50" with localized amounts up to 6.50". including sunrise/sunset and moon phases. The National Weather Service in Phoenix predicts that Arizona is going to have a very wet and active monsoon season this summer, with nearly a 70% chance of precipitation expected to reach near. Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. July climate data across southeast Arizona. The temperatures in Arizona in February are comfortable with low of 11 C and and high up to 21 C.. Above normal moisture values for early October combined with several atmospheric disturbances moving across the area produced isolated to scattered showers or thunderstorms on a daily basis during the first ten days of the month. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 95 on the 26th to a low of 33 on the 8th. As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. The La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to extend through winter for the third year in a row, bringing below-average rain and snow and above-average temperatures. It begins just at the backend. No rain was recorded across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS. Combined with last years August average temperature being 1.2 below normal, this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be below normal. The average yearly temperature of 54.3 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 31st warmest on record through the end of February. Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. My model is showing drier than normal conditions for most of California, majorly drier than normal for Southern California than Northern. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. Long-Range Weather Forecast for 2022 | The Old Farmer's Almanac August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area as is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season. So what's in store? Meanwhile, the Southwest and much of the Rockies are most likely to see December end up warmer than usual. Wildfire smoke forecast improves; heat pushes Poudre River to peak Managing Editor Sandi Duncan says for our region, in the North Central . There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. Best for planning. Weather in Phoenix in November 2022 (Arizona) - Detailed Weather In other words, it will be cold in the area. Winter 2021-2022 One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. Questions? Phoenix, Arizona Long Range Weather Forecast | WeatherTAB Toggle navigation. The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. This ties the monthly record previously set in 2017. On social media:Find us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and YouTube. By contrast, much of the southern third of the nation from the Southwest into the Southern Plains, Southeast and Florida is expected to have a warmer-than-average January. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. Apr. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. For a more accurate weather forecast please select a city, Click on a day for an hourly weather forecast, Royal Palms Resort and Spa, part of Hyatt. Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. All rights reserved. AccuWeather 2022-2023 US winter forecast | AccuWeather 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December There were nine daily lows that were 80 or warmer. Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. So here is the breakdown If you want to fix your roof, this is the best month to do so just in-case feb/mar/apr become active again, Southern California Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.19". That's more in line with what's typically expected in La Nia winters. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? That contrasts sharply with a likely warmer-than-usual February along the northern Gulf Coast, including Florida. April climate data across southeast Arizona. . The average yearly temperature of 60.6 is a half of a degree ABOVE normal and ranks as the 12th warmest on record, tied with 1996, through the end of April. The monthly average temperature of 89.1 is 3.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 5th warmest June on record. Antarctic Winter of 2022 - Coldest on Record. Get the latest articles, videos, and news about Washington State on Flipboard. Please try another search. No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. Flagstaff and Northern Arizona Weather Forecast | naztoday.com The metro area for most of the month remained under a favorable monsoon flow pattern that brought daily round of showers and thunderstorms which produced strong gusty winds, heavy rain and flash flooding. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. This is the second consecutive October to be below normal. Winter is a great time to hike the Grand Canyon (just be careful of ice), and its also a fun time to go camping in the milder central and southern parts of the state. The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. PHOENIX It's a wet start to 2022 across Arizona! Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. Heavy rain and flooding potential forecast for much of Arizona Heading into the last month of the 2022 Monsoon the September monthly outlook, issued by the Climate Prediction Center, called for "leaning above normal" for precipitation and temperature. NWS Temperature: Below Average, WANT MORE? CPC forecasts, thanks to weakening La Nia conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, probabilities leaning for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for most the remainder of the year. It will definitely seem like it in January though, but we still have February, March, and April left, that of which can easily add more storms into the forecast. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. Dry and warmer temperatures were on tap from the 17th to the 22nd. Phoenix, AZ Monthly Weather Forecast - weather.com - The Weather Channel Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. The forecast for precipitation is a 49% chance that they will be up below normal and a 18% chance that they will end up above normal. You can enjoy epic winter activities like Arizona Snow Bowl, and you can even go sledding iFarmers' Almanac winter forecastn Arizona (or snow tubing in Arizona) too. Blistering, Record-Breaking Heat Lytton, B.C. Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. Subscribe to azcentral.com today. Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. In a couple of words: its nice! The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. One exception was the pandemic year of 2020, when travel all but came to a. While it's true that large volcanic eruptions have historically had a temporary cooling effect on earth's climate, that's not the case for the Tongan eruption. You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. The first day of winter and the shortest day of the year, officially arrives on December 21, 2022, but that doesn't always mean that the cold temperatures and snow storms will wait until then. NWS Climate Prediction Center - Seasonal Outlook - National Oceanic and NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD. Much of the nation's midsection, including the Mississippi Valley, northern Gulf Coast, Florida and the West Coast, should be near or slightly warmer than average in December. The monthly average temperature of 54.0 is 1.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 25th warmest December on record, tied with 1995. Extended Winter Forecast for 2022-2023 - Farmers' Almanac Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.03" which ranks as the 8th driest water year to date with four months left in the water year calendar. The average yearly temperature, through the end of September, of 74.7 is 1.1 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record, tied with 2016. For the third year in a row, the La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to bring a lack of precipitation and warmer-than-average temperatures for not just Arizona, but the entire U.S. Southwest. During the first 16 days of the month, no below normal highs were recorded. Weather; Archive; Weather Widget F. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! For us across the Southwest, La Nia typically brings drier-than-normal conditions during the winter. This ranks as the 11th driest Spring on record. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. What's in the Farmers' Almanac forecast for this winter? The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. . It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall.
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