Now things start getting interesting. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. Step 1. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Is that an African fly or a European one? And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. saving. Thats a pretty good trip. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. dr ali binazir odds of being born - c-vineretirement.com So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? What are the odds of that? The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. Me neither. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Based on the data from the CDC . Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. Which ones bigger? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. But lets make it longer. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. How fast does a laden fly fly? The chances that they would then get knocked up? To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Those who are brave (foolish?) June 24, 2022 . They agree to within a factor of two! You have lived your life. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Your email address will not be published. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. But on all probability it would. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Now things start getting interesting. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Thats 150,000 generations. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. But let's think about this some more. xx, Lets be social! Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). On one try. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. That's 150,000 generations. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir.
dr ali binazir odds of being born
