This is my ranking of the best bets you can make on who will win Super Bowl 56 starting with the teams I absolutely would not recommend putting even a dollar on (with all odds via FOX Bet). This team just wasn't ready yet. You may have been expecting one of the more famous Super Bowl results to land a little higher on the list. Not every team epitomizes greatness and dominance when it is victorious in the Super Bowl. Super Bowl As Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers went back and forth to win the title, Super Bowl LIV is the 13th-best Super Bowl on our list. The game lacked memorable moments but is significant because it was Elways last. 113 career TDs compared to 129 interceptions says that he doesn't deserve that victory. The game that confirmed Joe Flacco was elite. Peyton Manning was on another level this season, leading his offense to score a jarring 37.9 points per game, but the team around him was lacking. 32. worst One could argue the Steelers have the worst QB in the division in 39-year old Ben Roethlisberger, who had 10 interceptions in the teams final seven games. Washington led 24-3 at one point. 3. Los Angeles could put itself in position to contend for a playoff spot. Here's everything we know, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Top QB prospect Levis eager to unleash 'cannon', Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. Its more fun to speculate on the Bears QB race than it is their actual Super Bowl chances., 24. According to statistics, the 2011 New York Giants. Which is funny considering the team they beat, the 2011 Patriots, would have also been the worst If the Saints slip a bit, there's a spot open for the Panthers to take a leap in 2021. The game was a blowout but did give us one of the most iconic moments in Super Bowl history: Don Beebe chasing down a prematurely celebrating Leon Lett. Just as importantly, no team lost more games to injury last year than the 49ers, And thats at every position. 13. He saved the team from the clutches of defeat and led a game-winning fourth-quarter drive. Tannehill is second in the league in passer rating (110.6), second in touchdown percentage (7.2) and first in yards per attempt (8.55). However, New York went just 10-6 in the regular season. This defense really let the team down in the biggest game, but they were phenomenal and a top defense throughout the season. Their strategy to run it back with nearly the same squad looks (on paper) like it could pay off; the Bucs have an 85% chance to reach the playoffs and a 15% shot to repeat as champions, according to FPI. ET (Rams, Seahawks, Chargers). This team just wasn't ready to win it all yet, but still a very good all-around team with a sneaky productive defense. Los Angeles Chargers +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total), The world loves the Chargers after Justin Herberts incredible rookie year (record-setting 31 TDs). A special season in Tennessee could be in store. Denver came in with a historically good offense. It was easily the sloppiest Super Bowl of all-time. If not for the dramatic ending, this game may have finished last on this list. And Chicago finds itself with eight games against FPI's top 10 teams: at Rams, at Browns, at Bucs, vs. 49ers, vs. Ravens, at Seahawks and then a home-and-home with the Packers. The Lions are the next-most likely team to earn the No. In a 122 season, this team only surrendered more than 20 points once during the regular season. ", Remember, this is about *value* in Super Bowl odds. So its only fitting that the winner of Super Bowl 53 will have a defense that finished the regular season below the league average. 16. Listen below and follow the Pick Six podcast for a daily dose of everything you need to follow pro football. The Chiefs win A four-game stretch bridging October and November vs Bills, vs Chiefs, at Colts, at Rams should seal their fate. The Tennessee Titans are one of 12 teams in the NFL to have never won a Super Bowl, and according to one writer, they are the furthest away from doing so of those dozen teams. Adding Marvin Jones to a young receiving unit that already includes Laviska Shenault Jr. and D.J. Top 5 in both points for and against, the Vikings 10-win record kept them from being higher on this list. The agony of defeat. Herbert will have more protection to connect with a talented cast of offensive weapons as the Chargers rebuilt their offensive line centered around All-Pro Corey Linsley and first-round pick Rashawn Slater. Stroud, Will Levis, Anthony Richardson don't lack confidence at NFL combine, Bettors are backing Bears, Lions, Jets to make, win Super Bowl, NFLPA report cards show link between player-friendly coaches and winning, Georgia's Nolan Smith turns heads with blazing 40 at NFL combine, Alabama QB Bryce Young confident in abilities, downplays questions about frame, Stroud opposes Bears drafting him, defends Fields: 'That's his team', Sharp: Ravens have themselves to blame for not getting Lamar Jackson help, 49ers offseason preview: Potential Super Bowl team must figure out QB spot. Every NFL team's 2021 Super Bowl odds, ranked from worst to Maybe the biggest forgotten gem in sports history. Poor Bengal fans will never watch a 49ers game with a smile (unless they're losing). The Bucs, despite not being quite on Kansas City's level, remain the favorite in the NFC and are the only other team to cross double digits in terms of chances to win the Super Bowl. As of now, FPI is working under the assumption that two rookies -- the Jaguars' Lawrence and the Jets' Wilson -- are their respective teams' current starters. Despite the memorable moments, this game was a bit of a letdown with two Hall of Fame quarterbacks not putting on the offensive show we expected. Unfortunately for them, that stopped in the playoffs and in the Super Bowl. New England Patriots +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total), If Bill Belichick can figure out his QB, the Patriots are going to be extremely dangerous. Seattle came in with the leagues best defense. Keep in mind, the Larry Fitzgerald touchdown catch (pictured above) was to go ahead with 2:37 left in the game. Again, FPI doesn't think the division is much-improved. While that's a long shot with Kansas City in the conference, both the Ravens and Browns have at least a 10% shot to pull it off. The game was so bad that the MVP award did not even go to a member of the winning team. 1 pick. We have all heard this "Cinderella story" one too many times, but it's worth going over for the purposes of this piece. Sure, it was a massive upset and Joe Namaths guarantee adds to the lore, but the game itself was a bore. If Murray can stay healthy, the sky's the limit for this team. You can follow him on Twitter at @jasonrmcintyre. The Kansas City Chiefs, winners of Super Bowl 57, are the favorites at +600. What makes a great Super Bowl? At best, the Falcons are a playoff team, but theyd need something calamitous to happen to the Bucs to have a shot to win the division., 21. Is the offensive line good enough to protect Burrow from getting hurt again? Buffalo has a top 10 pass defense led by one of the game's best cornerbacks in Tre'Davious White and Pro Bowl snub Jordan Poyer, but the run defense has to improve to beat a team like Kansas City. to win In the end, FPI's projections for the Colts are not all that bad; they have a 44% chance to win the AFC South (second to the Titans) and a 59% shot to make the postseason. This game gave us one of the most iconic plays in Super Bowl history: John Riggins taking a 4th-and-one run to the house to help seal Joe Gibbs first Super Bowl win. The Broncos could muster only 35 net passing yards. You won't believe how good some of these teams were. Theyve won 35 regular-season games in the last three seasons for a reason., When narratives build for example, that Lamar Jackson cant win in the playoffs you can find an edge fading them., 1. At 133, this defense was nasty by forcing 31 turnovers. Los Angeles is going to score points this year. Oh yeah, Marino's offense averaged 32.1 points per game, too. For the 2021 version of FPI, we made some under-the-hood improvements, including an updated expected points added model and a better predictive quarterback rating system. Let us first acknowledge that four future Hall of Famers were drafted by the Pittsburgh Steelers in 1974 (Lynn Swann, Jack Lambert, John Stallworth and Mike Webster). Terry Bradshaw and Franco Harris took over the game from there. The game itself may not be memorable but Marcus Allens 191-yard performance, which included the greatest run in Super Bowl history, pushes it into the top-30. The Worst Teams in NFL History to Win a Super Bowl In the Super Bowl, Pittsburgh managed just 16 points and won a defensive slugfest 16-6. But the rest of the roster is important, too. This is one of the worst rosters in the league, but Houston (at least) has a chance to win games if Watson plays. Washington Football Team +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total), Ryan Fitzpatrick, a guy who hasnt been to the playoffs in his career, is suddenly going to get to the Super Bowl?. https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/01/2019-super-bowl-rankings-best-to-worst, a fascinating chess match between the Falcons and Patriots coaching staffs, Anthony Richardson showed off his freakish athleticism by breaking 2 NFL Combine records, Joey Porter Jr. shared a wholesome moment with dad Joey Porter at 2023 NFL Combine, Will Levis finally shared the origin story for his mayo coffee, How to watch the NFL Combine, live stream, TV channel, Quarterbacks, Receivers, Tight Ends, Bryce Young's measurements at the NFL Combine are almost identical to Kyler Murray's, C.J. Worst Nobody has a tougher September schedule: vs Seattle, vs the Rams, at Tennessee, at Miami, at Baltimore. Thats NFL history. Use of this website (including any and all parts and components) constitutes your acceptance of these, place your futures bets on who is going to win, Every NFL team's 2021 win totals, ranked from worst to best bet. The worst of the Bills Super Bowl teams at 115, but Jim Kelly and Thurman Thomas still elevated them offensively. The Dolphins won their second consecutive Super Bowl in a game that was over well before the fourth quarter. Kind of pains me to say it, but it was the 2011 Giants. They shipped 400 points that year in the regular season and normally that leads to a losing New York Giants +7500 (bet $10 to win $760 total), The market doesnt like the Giants, but they were 9-5 ATS as an underdog last year. Ryan Tannehill has been a top five quarterback over the last two seasons and it hasn't been talked about enough. The first half ended with James Harrisons lung-busting interception return. A really strong offense, but their defense hurt their overall grade since there were less teams in the league. How much this defense will improve under first-year head coach Brandon Staley will be an indicator whether the Chargers are playoff-caliber. Brown (+1800) Miles Sanders, RB, Eagles (+2200) DeVonta Smith, WR, Eagles (+3000) Haason Reddick, LB, Eagles (+3000) Chris Jones, DT, Chiefs (+4000) Article. This was actually the closest one they played. It's all about the schedule. Jim Plunkett, a 33-year-old signal-caller at the time, was plucked off the bench early in the season and was the catalyst for the team making the playoffs, but even he only threw 18 touchdowns compared to 16 interceptions. Yes, the New York Giants knocked off the 18-0 New England Patriots. TEAM DATE ROUND TM OPP RESULT W TD 1DWN OFF OPP OFF 3DWN% 4DWN% Los Angeles Rams: 2/13/2022: Super Bowl: LAR @ CIN. This would have been yet another classic Steelers-Cowboys Super Bowl if Neil ODonnell didnt throw the game away. The defense wasn't that much better either, finishing 27th in points allowed, 30th in yards allowed, and recorded the fewest turnovers in the league. The Colts have the third worst odds at +15000, while the Texans have the worst overall odds at +30000. Jalen Hurts will not pull a The Bills could not close the deal in this four-year span, and most frustrating of all, all these teams were pretty well-balanced. The first five weeks of Indianapolis' schedule are rough, as the Colts host the Seahawks and Rams before hitting the road to face the Titans, Dolphins and Ravens. In one of our 20,000 sims, the Eagles took the crown at 5-11-1. While Kansas City's 19% chance to win the Super Bowl might be more than any other team's, FPI is also saying that there's a 4-in-5 chance that a team other than the Chiefs will win the Super Bowl. The NFC West is loaded, but the Cardinals have the talent to win the division. Bettis got his ring before retirement andthe Steelersgreatly overachieved in the process. Denver got out to a 10-0 lead before Washington dropped a Super Bowl-record 35 points in the second quarter on the Broncos defense. The Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI versus the Bengals on February 13, 2022. This is the first game on this list that was actually competitive going into the fourth quarter, but it was a sloppy affair featuring seven fumbles and a pair of interceptions. San Francisco finished the regular season at just 10-6, and the leading receiver was none other than Roger Craig. Obviously a dramatic ending helps, but that doesnt alway mean a great game. Who do you think was the best team to not win a Super Bowl. Reporting on what you care about. A 15-1 team, losing to the Atlanta Falcons by a single touchdown, the 2015 Carolina Panthers were a dominant offensive force with an underrated defense. Peyton Manning dragged him and the rest of the team there. and a dramatic finish. Herbert has immensely changed the fortunes of a franchise that mired in mediocrity during Philip Rivers' final years. Ken Anderson led his team to 124. Ranking 12 teams that never won a Super Bowl by best chance Forget about Super Bowl history, this was one of the best games in the history of American sports. It took just seven wins for Washington to top the NFC East last season, and FPI still doesn't think much of the division a year later. Zaven Collins has strong NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year capabilities and Isaiah Simmons is expected to take a huge step in his second year. The Bucs finished the season, including playoffs, with the sixth-most efficient defense under coordinator Todd Bowles. The AFC North features two major Super Bowl threats in Baltimore and Cleveland. Over the past three years, Cousins is seventh in passer rating (103.6), second in completion percentage (69.03), fifth in passing touchdowns (91), and 10th in yards per attempt (7.77). The Broncos do have to see Mahomes and the Chiefs twice, but they play only four top-10 FPI teams and get the extra home game for being in the AFC. The teams combined for 11 turnovers. Green Bay Packers +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total), The Packers are tied for the second-best odds to win the NFC, but their arduous schedule includes a league-high 10 games against teams that made the playoffs last year. 2023 NFL Draft odds: Will Georgia's Stetson Bennett get selected? Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns.Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns! Please check your email for a confirmation. A very good defense led by Andre Tippett and Steve Nelson. Both halves of this one were capped off by remarkable plays. Oh, and they had Terrell Owens, who was a superstar. Watson led the NFL in passing yards and yards per attempt, carrying an offense that finished 31st in the league in rushing. Super Bowl The first of the Steelers-Cowboys Super Bowls gave us those beautiful NFL Films shots of Lynn Swanns acrobatic catch. There have been some very random teams that reached the conference championship game in recent years (Titans and 49ers, 2020; Jaguars and Vikings 2018), though. Along with quarterback Earl Morrall, the Colts defense was the best in the league, only giving up 10.3 points per game. So, which teams have won it all, but look inferior to their championship brethren in retrospect? All Rights Reserved. 14. What was the worst defense to win the Super Bowl? : r/nfl The Cardinals added more playmakers to surround Murray this offseason with A.J. Star quarterback Phil Simms was injured during the playoffs, no player had more than 30 catches during the regular season and the team was carried by a great defense that allowed only 13.2 points per game. Again, this is all dependent on how Darnold plays. Tennessee Titans +2800 (bet $10 to win $290 total), Probably the favorites in the division given the Colts' injuries, but Im leery of taking the bait. Not to mention, Reggie White wrecking people on defense. Which one is the most likely to remove itself from this dubious list? They went 7-3 in one-score games last year and led the NFL in turnover margin (+11). A smart strategy? An 11-5 record was good enough for first place in the AFC East, yet New England was 5-5 through 10 games. This game will be remembered for two plays: The surprise onside kick to start the second half and Tracy Porters game-sealing pick-6 of Manning. The Jaguars and Jets are back-to-back in FPI's rankings -- at Nos. The defense ranked just 24th in the league that year, and a questionable call known as the "Tuck Rule" against the Oakland Raiders in the divisional round helped the Patriots reach the Super Bowl when many believed they did not belong. Everyone's mind goes to Rex Grossman, but people forget this overall team was more than their quarterback. 28. But Elways scramble which ended with him being helicoptered in the air remains the most memorable visual from the game. 19. Allen set the Bills' franchise record for passing yards in a season (4,544) and passing touchdowns (37), finishing with a 107.2 passer rating. Detroit has a young and talented offensive line (average age 24 years old) to protect new quarterback Jared Goffwho is looking to resurrect his career after getting traded by the Los Angeles Rams. Reeling off 11 straight road wins was impressive, and so was beating the top two seeded teams in the NFC en route to the title game (Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys). Rookie head coaches and rookie quarterbacks don't typically generate Super Bowl contenders. New York Jets +10000 (bet $10 to win $1010 total), The Jets have the longest playoff drought in the NFL (10 years). I'll take my chances on a 1-in-15 shot that the Niners put all the pieces back together and raise the Lombardi in February. It did earn him a bunch of money. Bradshaw would go on to complete just 67 passes for 785 yards, seven touchdowns and eight interceptions in his limited action. Atlanta is going to miss Jones' big-play ability -- and has a defense set to give up big plays of its own. However, these NFL teams should not be tossed aside because they lost the Super Bowl. Just when the Falcons appeared to have a team set to contend for a playoff berth in 2021, Atlanta traded Julio Jonesto the Titans for draft picks. If Atlanta can create holes up front for free agent signing Mike Davis, the Falcons offense may be good enough to carry a defense that needs some work. On the other end of the spectrum is Denver. Why? Replying to @GoBirds___ and @FanDuel. Tom Brady also led a top offense in his MVP season, finishing with a 133 regular-season record. The Minnesota Vikings, Buffalo Bills and Denver Broncos have been involved in some of the worst Super Bowls, but so have the Los Angeles Rams and Dallas Cowboys. The NFL didn't have a full season due to a strike, so it is hard to put a 72 team ahead of others. He finished fourth in the league in completion percentage (69.2), fifth in passing yards, fifth in passing touchdowns, and fourth in passer rating -- while also rushing for 421 yards and eight touchdowns. That decision is based on two factors: Garoppolo is generally believed to be the favorite over rookie No. Head coach Kliff Kingsbury has to commit to running the ball besides using Murray on designed carries, or else Arizona will experience the same second-half swoon as last year. By contrast, FPI is bullish on Cleveland's offense -- which ranks third in the league behind the Chiefs and Packers but ahead of the Bills -- but gives the Browns the 18th-best defense. It has been updated to include Super Bowl LII. Seattle Seahawks +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total), Will we see the first-half Seahawks (6-1, 34 points per game! Worst They had an outstanding defense, and thats what won them the Webworst defense to win super bowlaiken county sc register of deeds worst defense to win super bowl Unless Tua Tagovailoa makes a Josh Allen-type leap and the offensive line improves, theres just no shot at the Super Bowl. edit: grammar We cant put a Super Bowl featuring Rex Grossman too high on the list, but Peyton Manning winning his first ring salvages this one. As far as the division title is concerned, Baltimore is a narrow favorite over the Browns: 43% to 40%. A fullback even if it was Hall of Famer Larry Csonka winning MVP tells you just how entertaining this one was. With that criteria in mind, weve ranked every Super Bowl ever played from worst to first. Three different QBs started six games. If Watson doesn't play in 2021, the Texans will be competing for the top overall pick in the 2022 draft. Those first three are the Broncos' first three games of the season, an easy slate right off the bat. Im all aboard the Trevor Lawrence bandwagon., 8. Id have to guess the 2000 Baltimore Ravens. They had an outstanding defense, and thats what won them the Superbowl, but they didnt score many touch In fact, he is widely regarded as one of the worst starting quarterbacks to ever win a Super Bowl. Peyton Manning winning his second ring bumps this one up a few spots. FPI, which launched Monday, is a forward-looking projection model that includes ratings and projections for every team, from projected win-loss records to percentages to win each division. That's ridiculous. Their defense only gave up 9.5 points per game in a 14-game season. It truly is a remarkable tale, but the Patriots were nothing special on the way there. But it wasn't always so certain that FPI would give Green Bay the love. The game may have been bad, but this is NFL history. 3 overall pick Trey Lance entering the season. This was the first of the Cowboys three Super Bowl wins in the 90s. 12:11 pm ET, NFL combine 2023 tracker: Top performances, highlights, Jones assures Cowboys still interested in Beckham, NFL Combine 2023: Colossal Richardson breaks QB records, NFL combine measurements: Full list of WR, TE numbers, Jackson Mahomes accused of assault at Kansas restaurant, Agent's Take: Rodgers' trade value, logistics, best fit, Teams that never won SB that have best chance in 2021, Mock Draft: Panthers, Colts trade up for QBs, Rodgers' trade value, logistics, best fit, Richardson breaks QB record in vertical jump, Pascal robbed at gunpoint, assaulted; WR 'doing fine', Bryce Young measures similar to former No. Despite the strength of the division, the 49ers play one of the easiest strength of schedules in the league (SOS rank: 29th). Well, they play in a division that produced three playoff teams last year. This game did feature one of the best defenses in NFL history, but watching it dismantle a Kerry Collins-led offense wasnt all that exciting. There are no arguments to be made: This is the greatest Super Bowl of all-time. It is not that these teams were not deserving of a Super Bowl, but rather that they do not stack up when compared to the greatest units the NFL has ever seen. Of course, it is impossible to label a Super Bowl-winning team as average, but this 49ers team was certainly not up to par with others. New York didnt want Buffalos explosive offense on the field, so it grinded out the clock on the ground and ended up winning the time of possession battle by about 20 minutes. And they should open 2-0, meaning their odds will get even shorter., Too much turnover on the offensive line for my liking, though, as 37-year old Aaron Rodgers will open the season with three new starters., 7. They face an NFL-high three teams coming off a bye week. The problem is that for the first time in years, the Patriots have a brutal schedule. Top draft picks Gregory Rousseau and Carlos Basham Jr. should help, but did Buffalo do enough to shore up the biggest hole on its roster? The AFL just wasn't ready yet, but they were still very good for AFL standards with an 11-2-1 record. I'm sure fans in Baltimore still curse Joe Namath's Super Bowl guarantee. The Titans defense added Bud Dupree and Caleb Farley, but it may not be enough to make the the 24th-ranked unit (in points allowed) Super Bowl-caliber. IMPORTANT NOTE: I used my own mathematical point system involving team records, offensive production, and defensive production to determine the order. And in these two cases, both quarterbacks will have below-average pass protection in front of them, and both will be trying to compensate for their teams' defenses, which both rank in FPI's bottom six. 6) Jon Gruden, Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
